Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Belarus
0 - 0
Romania

Bakhar (75'), Ignatovich (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Belarus and Romania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belarus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	6	5	12
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	6	-3	4
5	Belarus	6	-7	4
6	Andorra	6	-7	2

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Romania 2-0 Kosovo
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Switzerland	6	12	14
2	Romania	6	5	12
3	Israel	6	0	11
4	Kosovo	6	-3	4
5	Belarus	6	-7	4
6	Andorra	6	-7	2

With these two teams having already played out a closely-fought encounter, we can only expect much of the same, particularly at a neutral venue. Nevertheless, Romania are yet to lose in this group and that should continue here, potentially with another 2-1 win over this opposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.86%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Belarus	Draw	Romania
14.82% ( 0.03)	22.58% ( 0.01)	62.59% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 43.2% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08% (

0.01)

53.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

75.37% (

-0.01)

Belarus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.89% (

0.03)

48.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.69% (

0.03)

83.31% (

-0.03)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.24% (

-0.01)

16.76% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.31% (

-0.02)

46.69% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Belarus 14.82%

Romania 62.59%

Draw 22.58%

Belarus	Draw	Romania
1-0 @ 5.9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 14.82%	1-1 @ 10.53% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.58%	0-1 @ 14.4% 0-2 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.59%