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Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Denmark national football team

Slovenia
1 - 1
Denmark

Sporar (25')
Brekalo (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hojlund (42')
Jorgensen (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and Denmark, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Finland 2-0 Slovenia
Friday, June 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Denmark 1-0 N. Ireland
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark

Denmark may have won their previous four games against Slovenia, but the hosts have won their last three home internationals, and we think that they will utilise the home support to hold the visitors to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Denmark win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawDenmark
43.93% (7.829 7.83) 21.71% (-5.524 -5.52) 34.36% (-2.307 -2.31)
Both teams to score 69.78% (19.6 19.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (25.451 25.45)29.83% (-25.452 -25.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (25.514 25.51)50.99% (-25.516 -25.52)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (14.835 14.84)14.5% (-14.838 -14.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (22.811 22.81)42.49% (-22.813 -22.81)
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (10.599 10.6)18.38% (-10.6 -10.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (15.36 15.36)49.52% (-15.361 -15.36)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 43.93%
    Denmark 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
SloveniaDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.498 0.5)
3-1 @ 5.42% (2.181 2.18)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-5.274 -5.27)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-1.425 -1.43)
3-2 @ 4.59% (2.584 2.58)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.585 0.59)
4-1 @ 2.62% (1.623 1.62)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.601 1.6)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.743 0.74)
4-3 @ 1.25% (0.997 1)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.767 0.77)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-4.193 -4.19)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.225 2.23)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-5.837 -5.84)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.763 1.76)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.613 -0.61)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-6.007 -6.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (0.867 0.87)
2-3 @ 4.03% (2.001 2)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-2.697 -2.7)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.534 -0.53)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.743 0.74)
2-4 @ 1.71% (1.078 1.08)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.841 0.84)
0-4 @ 0.91% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Denmark

Slovenia
21.1%
Draw
26.7%
Denmark
52.2%
90
rhs 2.0
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