MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 13:02:00| >> :60:164:164:
Romania national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Arena Naţională
Slovenia national football team

Romania
1 - 2
Slovenia

Dragus (64')
Dragus (34'), Olaru (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sesko (26'), Sporar (32')
Lovric (23'), Balkovec (48'), Stojanovic (58'), Verbic (66'), Sikosek (83'), Mevlja (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between Romania and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Romania 1-1 Slovenia

Romania have still been prone to the odd defensive lapse despite their recent spate of clean sheets, and Sesko will need no second invitation to make the hosts pay for such frailties. Failure to pick up victories away from home continues to bedevil Kek's side, though, and we expect Romania to do enough to claim a draw in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
RomaniaDrawSlovenia
36.61% (0.264 0.26) 27.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.53% (-0.274 -0.27)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)57.73% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.53% (-0.041 -0.04)78.48% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (0.13800000000001 0.14)30.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (0.16399999999999 0.16)66.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.2 -0.2)30.9% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.237 -0.24)67.19% (0.242 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Romania 36.61%
    Slovenia 35.52%
    Draw 27.86%
RomaniaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.85% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.13% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.035 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.34% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.86%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 35.52%

How you voted: Romania vs Slovenia

Romania
46.0%
Draw
28.6%
Slovenia
25.4%
63
rhs 2.0
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