Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovenia4 - 2N. Ireland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Finland | 4 | 7 | 9 |
2 | Kazakhstan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
3 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 7 |
4 | Slovenia | 4 | 1 | 7 |
5 | Northern Ireland | 4 | -1 | 3 |
6 | San Marino | 4 | -13 | 0 |
We said: Slovenia 2-0 Northern Ireland
Having lost each of their last three matches without scoring, Northern Ireland look set to suffer another damaging defeat on Thursday, strengthening Slovenia's qualification hopes in the process. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
Result | ||
Slovenia | Draw | Northern Ireland |
43.49% ( 1.68) | 26.53% ( -0.41) | 29.98% ( -1.27) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.21% ( 1.15) | 53.79% ( -1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.74% ( 0.96) | 75.26% ( -0.96) |
Slovenia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( 1.38) | 24.55% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.97% ( 1.9) | 59.03% ( -1.9) |
Northern Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.33% ( -0.31) | 32.67% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.78% ( -0.36) | 69.22% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Slovenia 43.49%
Northern Ireland 29.98%
Draw 26.52%
Slovenia | Draw | Northern Ireland |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.49% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.98% |
How you voted: Slovenia vs N. Ireland
Slovenia
74.2%Draw
16.1%Northern Ireland
9.7%62
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
N. Ireland
1-0
Slovenia
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 14:32:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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