MX23RW : Saturday, September 14 16:25:07| >> :600:7953474:7953474:
FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westfield Lane Stadium

Badshot Lea
1 - 3
Cray Valley

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Badshot Lea and Cray Valley Paper Mills.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Badshot Lea 4-1 Balham
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Cray Valley 1-5 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cray Valley Paper Mills win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Badshot Lea had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 1-3 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Badshot Lea win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cray Valley Paper Mills would win this match.

Result
Badshot LeaDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
14.08% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 16.91% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 69.01% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 60.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.9% (0.039999999999992 0.04)30.09% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.69% (0.048000000000002 0.05)51.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Badshot Lea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.86% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.13% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.82% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.07% (0.028999999999996 0.03)7.92% (-0.0269 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.99% (0.069999999999993 0.07)28.01% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Badshot Lea 14.08%
    Cray Valley Paper Mills 69.01%
    Draw 16.91%
Badshot LeaDrawCray Valley Paper Mills
2-1 @ 3.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 14.08%
1-1 @ 7.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 16.91%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 7.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 7.35% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 4.66% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-4 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 2.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.36% (0.01 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 69.01%

rhs 2.0
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