FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

Oakwell

Barnsley
5 - 4
Barrow

Andersen (23'), Williams (42'), Cole (83'), Morris (88', 102')
Styles (31'), Moon (60'), Morris (120+2')

FT
(aet)

Banks (61'), Glennon (78'), Jones (86'), Kay (90')
Banks (68'), Arthur (115'), Devitt (120+2')
Beadling (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Barnsley and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

There is definitely potential for an upset in this tie given Barnsley's atrocious season so far and current squad issues. If it was being played at Holker Street we would fancy a Barrow win, but we think that the game will finish level after 90 minutes before the Tykes squeeze through in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%).

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Barrow
42.93%	28.04%	29.03%

Both teams to score 45.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.26%

59.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.96%

80.04%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43%

27.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91%

63.09%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.44%

36.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.66%

73.35%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 42.93%

Barrow 29.02%

Draw 28.03%

Barnsley	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 8.37% 3-1 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.93%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 10.07% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.87% Total : 29.02%