We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Barnsley
This is a difficult game to call, least of all because both teams have struggled for wins this season. Peterborough need a reaction from Wednesday's thrashing but could go into their shell, while Asbaghi remains an unknown quantity at Barnsley and has not had much time to get his ideas across to the players. We are going for a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.