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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
51.45% | 24.32% | 24.23% |
Both teams to score 53.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.44% | 48.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% | 70.68% |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.14% | 18.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% | 50.32% |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% | 34.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% | 71.18% |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.63% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.23% 4-0 @ 2.1% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.92% 1-2 @ 6.15% 0-2 @ 3.69% 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |