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FA Cup
Bristol City
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
West Ham logo

Bristol City
1 - 0
West Ham

Conway (3')
Williams (50'), Gardner-Hickman (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cresswell (64')
Benrahma (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Bristol City and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

West Ham United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup

We said: Bristol City 0-1 West Ham United

 While calls from Hammers supporters for their side to strengthen their attacking ranks fall on deaf ears, the travelling supporters ought not to expect a scintillating offensive display from their side if both Paqueta and Bowen miss out as feared. However, Bristol City have produced several toothless attacking performances of their own in recent weeks, and despite their valiant effort in the capital, the Robins may fall victim to a West Ham defensive masterclass at Ashton Gate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWest Ham United
47.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 23.04% (0.0040000000000013 0) 29.88% (-0.101 -0.1)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)38.54% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)60.83% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)16.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (-0.104 -0.1)25.02% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (-0.142 -0.14)59.69% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 47.07%
    West Ham United 29.88%
    Draw 23.04%
Bristol CityDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.78% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.04%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Bristol City vs West Ham

Bristol City
14.4%
Draw
11.3%
West Ham United
74.2%
97
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 2pm
Third Round
West Ham
1-1
Bristol City
Bowen (4')
Alvarez (45+5'), Ward-Prowse (53')
Conway (61')
Williams (33'), Conway (35'), Pring (60')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2015 2pm
Fourth Round
Bristol City
0-1
West Ham
> Match Report
Apr 17, 2012 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
West Ham
Skuse (29')
Skuse (56'), McGivern (74'), Stead (81')
Tomkins (25')
Reid (49'), Collins (58')
Nov 1, 2011 7.45pm
West Ham
0-0
Bristol City
rhs 2.0
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