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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Bristol City

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Stoke
Tuesday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Bristol City

 Birmingham's defence has been the leakiest in the Championship since Rooney took charge, and with injuries meaning that they cannot immediately change the personnel in their backline, it could be another scary watch for Bluenoses on Friday. Bristol City will be full of confidence as they head to St Andrew's following their Vicarage Road romp, and although we do not believe that the scoreline will be as convincing, we expect the Robins to earn maximum points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
34.87% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 26.79% (0.0040000000000013 0) 38.34% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)53.59% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)75.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)29.26% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)65.22% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)27.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.6% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 34.87%
    Bristol City 38.34%
    Draw 26.78%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 34.87%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.78%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.93% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 38.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
15.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bristol City
65.0%
40
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> Preview
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
6Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
7Bristol City37131594740754
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich371213125952749
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633
> Championship Full Table


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