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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
42.35% ( -0.01) | 26.4% ( 0.01) | 31.25% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.77% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( -0.04) | 52.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.57% ( -0.04) | 74.42% ( 0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( -0.03) | 24.68% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( -0.03) | 59.21% ( 0.03) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.74% ( -0.02) | 31.25% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.39% ( -0.02) | 67.6% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 14 | 26 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 25 |
4 | Burnley | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Watford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Bristol City | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 18 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
15 | Hull City | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 |
17 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
24 | Portsmouth | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 9 |
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