FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Needham Market

Oshilaja (34'), Powell (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Burton Albion and Needham Market, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 3-0 Needham Market

The FA Cup is a competition known for its cup upsets, and underdogs often thrive in these games, which will give the visitors some hope. However, even though Needham Market have been defensively resilient, it is Burton Albion who are the strong favourites to progress here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Needham Market win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Needham Market
61.61% ( -0.19)	19.8% ( 0)	18.59% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 60.25% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.71% (

0.3)

35.29% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.69% (

0.33)

57.32% (

-0.34)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.93% (

0.04)

11.07% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.56% (

0.09)

35.44% (

-0.09)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

0.37)

32.25% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.26% (

0.42)

68.74% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 61.61%

Needham Market 18.59%

Draw 19.8%

Burton Albion	Draw	Needham Market
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.18% 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 61.61%	1-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 19.8%	1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.24% Total : 18.59%