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FA Cup
Burton Albion
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Needham Market

Oshilaja (34'), Powell (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Burton Albion and Needham Market, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Needham Market

We said: Burton Albion 3-0 Needham Market

 The FA Cup is a competition known for its cup upsets, and underdogs often thrive in these games, which will give the visitors some hope. However, even though Needham Market have been defensively resilient, it is Burton Albion who are the strong favourites to progress here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Needham Market had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Needham Market win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawNeedham Market
61.61% (-0.188 -0.19) 19.8% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.59% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.25% (0.35899999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.71% (0.30199999999999 0.3)35.29% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.69% (0.334 0.33)57.32% (-0.335 -0.34)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (0.040999999999997 0.04)11.07% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)35.44% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Needham Market Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.372 0.37)32.25% (-0.372 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (0.422 0.42)68.74% (-0.42100000000001 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 61.61%
    Needham Market 18.59%
    Draw 19.8%
Burton AlbionDrawNeedham Market
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.65% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.18%
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.98% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 61.61%
1-1 @ 8.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.57% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.8%
1-2 @ 5.03% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Needham Market

Burton Albion
80.0%
Draw
13.3%
Needham Market
6.7%
15
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Burton Albion
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal18106235161936
3Chelsea18105338211735
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5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
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13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich1826101633-1712
20Southampton1813141137-266
> Premier League Full Table


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