Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 7.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Burton Albion |
78.35% ( -0.01) | 13.93% ( 0) | 7.72% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.11% ( 0.01) | 34.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.13% ( 0.01) | 56.87% ( -0.01) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.86% | 7.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74% | 26% ( 0) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.05% ( 0.02) | 48.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.08% ( 0.01) | 83.92% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.66% 4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.64% 6-1 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.08% Total : 78.34% | 1-1 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.93% | 0-1 @ 2.5% 1-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 7.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |