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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
49.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.08% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.84%
    Cheltenham Town 25.35%
    Draw 24.79%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
1-3
Burton Albion
Burns (55')
Brown (45')
Beavon (21'), McGurk (36'), Edwards (49')
Weir (81')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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