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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
49.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.08% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.84%
    Cheltenham Town 25.35%
    Draw 24.79%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
1-3
Burton Albion
Burns (55')
Brown (45')
Beavon (21'), McGurk (36'), Edwards (49')
Weir (81')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
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FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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