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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
70.47% ( 0.08) | 17.84% ( -0.03) | 11.69% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% ( -0.02) | 40.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% ( -0.02) | 63.37% ( 0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.58% ( 0.02) | 10.42% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.01% ( 0.04) | 33.98% ( -0.04) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.02% ( -0.11) | 44.98% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.08% ( -0.09) | 80.92% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 4.2% Total : 70.46% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 17.84% | 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.15% Total : 11.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |