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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Morecambe

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe

Keillor-Dunn (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23'), Shaw (25'), Delaney (78'), Fane (79'), Rawson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 3-1 Morecambe

 Burton should have confidence after last weekend's result, which would give them the edge against a Morecambe side devoid of it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
46.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 25.44% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 28.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.26% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.79% (0.022000000000002 0.02)72.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)21.71% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (0.032999999999994 0.03)54.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)32.1% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42%68.58%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 46.28%
    Morecambe 28.27%
    Draw 25.44%
Burton AlbionDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 46.28%
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 7.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.27%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Morecambe

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Morecambe
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
3-0
Burton Albion
Gnahoua (41'), Phillips (45+5'), Stockton (46')
Connolly (28')

Oshilaja (71')
Shaughnessy (43')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
Oct 18, 2014 3pm
Burton Albion
0-2
Morecambe
Ellison (59'), Kenyon (61')
Fleming (56'), Barkhuizen (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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