League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Morecambe

Keillor-Dunn (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Delaney (77')
Connolly (23'), Shaw (25'), Delaney (78'), Fane (79'), Rawson (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Ipswich
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 3-1 Morecambe

Burton should have confidence after last weekend's result, which would give them the edge against a Morecambe side devoid of it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Morecambe
46.29% ( 0.03)	25.44% ( -0.01)	28.27% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.02)

50.26% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.02)

72.21% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.02)

21.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

0.03)

54.87% (

-0.03)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

32.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42%

68.58%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 46.28%

Morecambe 28.27%

Draw 25.44%

Burton Albion	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.27%