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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Amlin Stadium

Cray Valley
0 - 2
Chesham

FT(HT: 0-0)
Grant (76')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Cray Valley Paper Mills and Chesham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Badshot Lea 1-3 Cray Valley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Cray Valley Paper MillsDrawChesham United
37.79% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 24.09% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 38.13% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.28% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)63.68% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.018000000000001 0.02)55.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.71% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.12% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.88% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cray Valley Paper Mills 37.79%
    Chesham United 38.13%
    Draw 24.08%
Cray Valley Paper MillsDrawChesham United
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.79%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.82% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.13%

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12West Ham UnitedWest Ham72231011-18
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18Crystal Palace7034510-53
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