FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 6, 2021 at 2pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 1
Cheltenham

Sithole (59')
Jackson (36'), Tucker (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pollock (34')
Chapman (54'), Long (84')

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Gillingham and Cheltenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Cheltenham Town
35.64%	26.16%	38.2%

Both teams to score 53.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09%

50.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21%

72.78%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5%

27.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37%

62.99%

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97%

26.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94%

61.05%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 35.64%

Cheltenham Town 38.2%

Draw 26.15%

Gillingham	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 3.46% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.64%	1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 9.63% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.2%