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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Whaddon Road
Morecambe

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Morecambe

Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
38.03%26.56%35.41%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73%74.26%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.03%
    Morecambe 35.41%
    Draw 26.56%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Morecambe

Cheltenham Town
18.2%
Draw
31.8%
Morecambe
50.0%
22
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
1-2
Morecambe
May (28')
Phillips (78' pen.), Mendes Gomes (90+2')
Davis (40')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cheltenham
2-1
Morecambe
Thomas (32' pen.), May (35')
Raglan (44'), Varney (64'), Broom (92'), Doyle-Hayes (96')
Leitch-Smith (84')
Kenyon (71'), Wildig (87'), Stockton (98')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Cheltenham
Roche (79')
Long (58')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Morecambe
4-0
Cheltenham
Oliver (49'), Ellison (53'), Lavelle (81'), Collins (85')

Thomas (75'), Bingham (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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