It is extremely difficult to see where the goals are going to come from in this Gillingham side at the moment, and we would not be at all surprised to see this one go the distance as a resilient Dagenham hold out for another draw.
Spot kicks may be necessary to decide both teams' FA Cup destiny, but with the home crowd behind them, we still have faith in Harris's men to edge through by the skin of their teeth and set up a tie with Leicester.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.31) 
