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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Gillingham

Crawley
0 - 0
Gillingham

FT

Ehmer (18'), Gbode (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Gillingham

Crawley have been in good form since Young replaced Betsy in their managerial dugout last month, and we can envisage their winning home run continuing on Tuesday. Gillingham have lost four league matches in a row without scoring in any of them, and while the latter could end against the division's second weakest defence, the former streak may continue a little longer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
45.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.6% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.44% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)24.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)58.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.84%
    Gillingham 27.56%
    Draw 26.59%
Crawley TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.56%

How you voted: Crawley vs Gillingham

Crawley Town
74.3%
Draw
8.6%
Gillingham
17.1%
35
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2021 7.30pm
Crawley
2-2
Gillingham
Gillingham win 10-9 on penalties
Ashford (55'), Davies (90+7')
Francillette (74')
Sithole (3'), Phillips (90+5')
Ehmer (36')
Sep 8, 2020 5.30pm
Nov 13, 2018 7.45pm
Gillingham
2-1
Crawley
List (57'), Stevenson (86')
Mbo (45'), Simpson (68'), Parrett (83')
Poleon (17')
McNerney (30')
Mar 28, 2015 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (63')
Wordsworth (61'), McLeod (68')
Dack (40'), McGlashan (81')
Morris (68'), Dack (68')
Nov 11, 2014 7.45pm
Crawley
1-2
Gillingham
McLeod (21' pen.)
Edwards (29'), Walsh (51'), Tomlin (58'), McLeod (65')
McGlashan (68'), Loft (87')
Dickenson (78')
Martin (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall402012870462472
2Bradford CityBradford4020101052341870
3Port Vale401913851381370
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster3919101059461367
5AFC Wimbledon4018111153312265
6Notts County3918111058391965
7Grimsby Town40195165457-362
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe40151694739861
9Colchester UnitedColchester40141794840859
10Chesterfield3916101361451658
11Salford City391512124844457
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood401414125749856
13Bromley401314135251153
14Swindon TownSwindon401215135757051
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham401311165159-850
16BarrowBarrow401310174447-349
17Newport CountyNewport40138194965-1647
18MK Dons39137195159-846
19Gillingham391112163341-845
20Harrogate TownHarrogate40129193351-1845
21Accrington StanleyAccrington401012184659-1342
22Tranmere RoversTranmere40913183258-2640
23Morecambe40106243657-2136
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle40710233161-3031


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