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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Salford City

Gillingham
0 - 3
Salford City


Reeves (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (54'), Watson (61'), Hendry (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Salford City

Gillingham have been stronger at home than on the road this season, but despite having that improved form it is still unlikely that they will take three points this weekend. Salford City must get back to winning ways in the league to keep the pressure on the other teams pushing for promotion, and that is what they should be able to do here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSalford City
31.73% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 28.07% (-0.3 -0.3) 40.21% (0.209 0.21)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.871 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41% (1.074 1.07)59% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.53% (0.826 0.83)79.47% (-0.81800000000001 -0.82)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.88% (0.64 0.64)34.12% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.19% (0.681 0.68)70.81% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.64200000000001 0.64)28.72% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.791 0.79)64.55% (-0.785 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 31.72%
    Salford City 40.2%
    Draw 28.06%
GillinghamDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.07% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.073 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 13.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.8% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.085 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.2%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Salford City

Gillingham
35.7%
Draw
7.1%
Salford City
57.1%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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