League Two

League Two | Gameweek 19

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 0
Gillingham

Farquharson (43', 56')
Waite (72'), Moriah-Welsh (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mandron (15'), Alexander (22'), Walker (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Newport County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Fylde
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Newport County 2-1 Gillingham

A game that both sides will view as an opportunity to take three points, we are backing the visitors here, given their relatively solid form since the arrival of Coughlan in the dugout in addition to Gillingham's goalscoring woes on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Gillingham
55.32% ( -0.17)	25.18% ( -0.21)	19.5% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 44.67% (

1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.28% (

1.15)

56.72% (

-1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.33% (

0.91)

77.67% (

-0.91)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

0.39)

20.51% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

0.61)

53% (

-0.61)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.2% (

1.11)

43.8% (

-1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.04% (

0.9)

79.96% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Newport County 55.31%

Gillingham 19.5%

Draw 25.17%

Newport County	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 14.23% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.3% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.5%