With a taste for goals on the road and nothing to lose at Blundell Park, Slough are not to be underestimated by their more esteemed counterparts, but ongoing rearguard concerns could prove to be their downfall. It has been nine years since Grimsby last suffered an FA Cup proper home defeat, and we expect the Mariners to prolong that golden streak and bring the Slough fairytale to an end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 69.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Slough Town win it was 1-2 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Slough Town
69.27% ( 0.01)	17.73% ( 0)	13% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.04% (

-0.03)

36.96% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.85% (

-0.03)

59.14% (

0.04)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

-0)

9.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.81% (

-0.02)

32.19% (

0.02)

Slough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

-0.03)

40.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

-0.03)

76.86% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 69.27%

Slough Town 13%

Draw 17.73%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Slough Town
2-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.26% 5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 4.17% Total : 69.27%	1-1 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.73%	1-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 13%