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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
43.86% ( -0.63) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 30.69% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( 0.48) | 49.1% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( 0.43) | 71.17% ( -0.44) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( -0.09) | 22.33% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( -0.14) | 55.81% ( 0.13) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( 0.71) | 29.76% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% ( 0.85) | 65.83% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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