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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
43.86% ( -0.63) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 30.69% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( 0.48) | 49.1% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( 0.43) | 71.17% ( -0.44) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( -0.09) | 22.33% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( -0.14) | 55.81% ( 0.13) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.23% ( 0.71) | 29.76% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.16% ( 0.85) | 65.83% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.29% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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