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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
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MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Colchester United

Grimsby Town
2 - 3
Colchester

Goodman (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Andrews (39')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Taylor (11'), Mitchell (35'), Read (64')
Mitchell (22'), Dallison (60'), Egbo (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Colchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Colchester United

Despite the Garner's departure, Grimsby could take advantage of Colchester's leaky rearguard to secure a slender victory in North East Lincolnshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawColchester United
43.86% (-0.632 -0.63) 25.45% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 30.69% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 54.54% (0.48999999999999 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.48200000000001 0.48)49.1% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.433 0.43)71.17% (-0.44 -0.44)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)22.33% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)55.81% (0.129 0.13)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (0.71000000000001 0.71)29.76% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (0.855 0.85)65.83% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.86%
    Colchester United 30.69%
    Draw 25.45%
Grimsby TownDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.225 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Colchester

Grimsby Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Colchester United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Grimsby Town
0-0
Colchester
Matete (25')
Pell (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Colchester
2-1
Grimsby Town
Smith (8'), Harriott (56')
Gambin (63'), Eastman (87')
Hendrie (23')
Pollock (2')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Colchester
2-3
Grimsby Town
Prosser (17'), Robinson (42')
Prosser (67'), Stevenson (79'), Bramall (90')
Vernam (21', 66', 69')
Green (50'), Benson (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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