League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
0 - 2
Accrington

Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-2 Bradford
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 Accrington
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Accrington Stanley

Both sides have been scoring and conceding relatively freely during the opening period of the campaign, so we expect to see an entertaining encounter play out in Lincolnshire. Neither team should have any concerns about relegation this season, but equally a playoff push could be slightly beyond them, and we can envisage a score draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
44.17% ( 0.12)	25.48% ( -0.01)	30.35% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 54.29% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.65% (

0.01)

49.35% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.6% (

0.01)

71.4% (

-0.01)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

0.06)

22.3% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.24% (

0.09)

55.76% (

-0.09)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.87% (

-0.07)

30.13% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

-0.08)

66.27% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 44.17%

Accrington Stanley 30.35%

Draw 25.47%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.17%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 30.35%