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FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Arbour Park
Grimsby Town

Slough
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Davies (28')
Bayliss (66'), Eweka (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rose (75')
Clifton (33'), Efete (48'), Maher (89'), Hunt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Slough Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 3-3 Slough
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Slough Town 0-3 Grimsby Town

While Grimsby are lacking any real confidence in League Two and may be rocked by the departure of their popular former manager, the switch to Pearson and Davies could provide the fresh start required, and after last season's run, an FA Cup fixture could be the start of their turnaround. The Mariners have the quality to put their sixth-tier hosts to the sword and will be keen to start their new era with a victory in dominant fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Slough Town win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Slough TownDrawGrimsby Town
17.47%19.62%62.91%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.59%36.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.46%58.54%
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89%34.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2%70.8%
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94%11.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.58%35.42%
Score Analysis
    Slough Town 17.47%
    Grimsby Town 62.91%
    Draw 19.62%
Slough TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 4.81%
1-0 @ 4.06%
2-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-1 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 17.47%
1-1 @ 8.94%
2-2 @ 5.29%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-2 @ 9.15%
0-1 @ 8.31%
1-3 @ 7.22%
0-3 @ 6.71%
1-4 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.88%
0-4 @ 3.69%
2-4 @ 2.14%
1-5 @ 1.75%
0-5 @ 1.63%
2-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 62.91%

How you voted: Slough vs Grimsby Town

Slough Town
44.4%
Draw
0.0%
Grimsby Town
55.6%
9
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
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9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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