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Ipswich logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Ipswich
3 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Phillips (18'), Clarke (24'), Taylor (37')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ward (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Ipswich
Sunday, January 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 4 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Ipswich Town 2-0 Bristol Rovers

With last year's Maidstone nightmare in the back of their minds, Ipswich should be fully concentrated on avoiding another major FA Cup upset this weekend. Bristol Rovers have struggled to pose an attacking threat in the third tier of late, so we find it hard to envisage the Gas pulling up any trees at Portman Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
48.8% (0.979 0.98) 23.78% (-0.319 -0.32) 27.42% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.02% (0.566 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (0.979 0.98)43.57% (-0.982 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (0.955 0.95)65.97% (-0.956 -0.96)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (0.76700000000001 0.77)17.99% (-0.769 -0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (1.3 1.3)48.85% (-1.302 -1.3)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (0.02600000000001 0.03)29.26% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.78% (0.032999999999994 0.03)65.22% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 48.8%
    Bristol Rovers 27.43%
    Draw 23.77%
Ipswich TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.165 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.74% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.136 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.34% (0.108 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.8%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.77%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.43%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Bristol Rovers

Ipswich Town
81.8%
Bristol Rovers
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Aug 9, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Ipswich
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (12'), Aluko (76')
Hutchinson (54')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Ipswich
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Leahy (1' og.), Judge (11')
Holy (24'), Drinan (65')
McCormick (18')
Oztumer (77')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Ipswich

Upson (42'), Grant (90+1')
Ehmer (80' og.), Nolan (89')
Norwood (53'), Edwards (66')
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
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5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
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11Crystal Palace2810993633339
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13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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