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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Buchanan (6'), Stansfield (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

In the midst of their longest winning run of the campaign, Birmingham should be extremely confident of extending their unbeaten run at home to nine league matches. That being said, a Bristol Rovers side full of rest and with a top goalkeeper could make it a taxing afternoon for the title candidates in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
71.75% (-0.211 -0.21) 17.57% (0.247 0.25) 10.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.97 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-1.224 -1.22)42.52% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-1.232 -1.23)64.93% (1.24 1.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.49% (-0.375 -0.38)10.51% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)34.19% (0.87 0.87)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-0.858 -0.86)47.8% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.642 -0.64)83.08% (0.64999999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.74%
    Bristol Rovers 10.68%
    Draw 17.57%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol Rovers

Birmingham City
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2019 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Sterry (5')
Pedersen (12'), Jutkiewicz (49')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Harrison (65')
Maghoma (57'), Shinnie (68')
Davis (45'), Novak (96')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Robinson (35'), Burke (85', 87')

Harrison (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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