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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Birmingham
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Buchanan (6'), Stansfield (37' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Bristol Rovers

In the midst of their longest winning run of the campaign, Birmingham should be extremely confident of extending their unbeaten run at home to nine league matches. That being said, a Bristol Rovers side full of rest and with a top goalkeeper could make it a taxing afternoon for the title candidates in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
71.75% (-0.211 -0.21) 17.57% (0.247 0.25) 10.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.97 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-1.224 -1.22)42.52% (1.232 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.07% (-1.232 -1.23)64.93% (1.24 1.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.49% (-0.375 -0.38)10.51% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.81% (-0.86199999999999 -0.86)34.19% (0.87 0.87)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.2% (-0.858 -0.86)47.8% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.92% (-0.642 -0.64)83.08% (0.64999999999999 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.74%
    Bristol Rovers 10.68%
    Draw 17.57%
Birmingham CityDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 11.31% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 9.57% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.98% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.089 -0.09)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.121 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.68%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol Rovers

Birmingham City
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Bristol Rovers
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jul 20, 2019 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Sterry (5')
Pedersen (12'), Jutkiewicz (49')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Birmingham
Harrison (65')
Maghoma (57'), Shinnie (68')
Davis (45'), Novak (96')
Jan 14, 2014 7.45pm
Third Round
Birmingham
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Robinson (35'), Burke (85', 87')

Harrison (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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