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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Birmingham City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Birmingham City.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
71.75% ( -0.21) | 17.57% ( 0.25) | 10.68% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.72% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.48% ( -1.22) | 42.52% ( 1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( -1.23) | 64.93% ( 1.24) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.49% ( -0.38) | 10.51% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.81% ( -0.86) | 34.19% ( 0.87) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.2% ( -0.86) | 47.8% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.92% ( -0.64) | 83.08% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
2-0 @ 12.74% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 71.74% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.71% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 10.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |