FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 3pm UK

St. James' Park

Newcastle
0 - 1
Cambridge

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ironside (56')
Knibbs (66'), Lankester (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Newcastle United and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 3-0 Cambridge United

The travelling Cambridge support will relish the opportunity to witness their side step foot onto Premier League turf, but any joy of the occasion will likely be extinguished when the Magpies hit their stride. With Howe's side potentially welcoming back their COVID-affected crop, the irrepressible Saint-Maximin and buoyed by news of fresh faces in the squad, we are backing the Magpies to get the job done in convincing fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Cambridge United
41.57%	23.42%	35.01%

Both teams to score 63.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.67%

38.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.39%

60.61%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15%

18.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.69%

50.31%

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.02%

21.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.73%

55.28%

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 41.57%

Cambridge United 35.01%

Draw 23.42%

Newcastle United	Draw	Cambridge United
2-1 @ 8.74% 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.57%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.14% 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 7.94% 0-1 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.01%