Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St James' Park
Newcastle1 - 1Norwich
We said: Newcastle United 2-2 Norwich City
Newcastle will be aware that they will hardly get a better opportunity to end their winless streak, but Norwich will be a tough nut to crack, as evidenced by their recent performances. Some enforced defensive changes could have Smith's attackers licking their lips at the prospect of even more goals away from home, and the Magpies could be held to another score draw at St James' Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Norwich City |
| 37.54% | 27.7% | 34.76% |
| Both teams to score 48.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
