MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:23:32| >> :600:767771:767771:
Reading logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Watford logo

Reading
2 - 0
Watford

Abretti (45+3'), Long (90+3')
Hutchinson (13'), Mbengue (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (59'), Adu-Poku (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Reading and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Reading
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Watford
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Watford

With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawWatford
25.59% (0.111 0.11) 25.35% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 49.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)51.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)73.41% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.02% (0.069000000000003 0.07)34.97% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.28% (0.073 0.07)71.72% (-0.071000000000012 -0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)21.06% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.14% (-0.125 -0.13)53.86% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.59%
    Watford 49.06%
    Draw 25.34%
ReadingDrawWatford
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.06% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.64% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.06%

How you voted: Reading vs Watford

Reading
18.4%
Draw
21.1%
Watford
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 8pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Pedro (15' pen., 87')
Asprilla (34')
Apr 9, 2021 7.45pm
Watford
2-0
Reading
Sarr (12', 14')
Zinckernagel (17'), Hughes (75'), Success (90+2')

Rinomhota (56')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Reading
1-0
Watford
Puscas (41')
Laurent (39'), Richards (62'), Tetek (87')

Wilmot (40'), Pedro (87'), Chalobah (90+4')
Aug 29, 2018 8pm
Second Round
Reading
0-2
Watford

Meite (89')
Success (37'), Quina (62')
Navarro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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