We said: Reading 1-2 Watford
With both managers likely to tinker with their squads, this is an even more unpredictable fixture than it may have been with full-strength sides. While Reading will still be confident of registering yet another home win this campaign, we feel that a greater freedom for Watford to express themselves may lead to a narrow away victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.