Championship

Championship | Gameweek 26

Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
0 - 1
Watford

Gibbs (18'), Hanley (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Issouf Bayo (86')
Ngakia (4'), Morris (49'), Sierralta (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Reading
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Watford

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 4-0 Watford
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Watford

Such has been each club's recent form that no-one would be surprised to see another defeat for either team. However, we feel that they may err on the side of caution, resulting in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Watford
49.84% ( -0.34)	25.67% ( 0.06)	24.48% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 49.33% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.25% (

-0.01)

53.74% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.77% (

-0.01)

75.22% (

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41% (

-0.16)

21.59% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31% (

-0.23)

54.68% (

0.23)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.91% (

0.25)

37.09% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12% (

0.25)

73.87% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 49.84%

Watford 24.48%

Draw 25.67%

Norwich City	Draw	Watford
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 49.84%	1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.67%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.48%