Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poole Town win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Swindon Supermarine had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poole Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.7%) and 1-3 (5.39%). The likeliest Swindon Supermarine win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.