Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tilbury win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Stanway Rovers FC had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tilbury win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.6%) and 2-0 (4.99%). The likeliest Stanway Rovers FC win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tilbury would win this match.