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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Santa Clara

Famalicao
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Rodrigues (82' pen.)
Riccieli (21'), Guedes (65'), Valenzuela (88'), Queiros (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villanueva (12'), Nene (34'), Pereira (77'), Sagna (82'), Crysan (90+2')
Nene (35'), Sagna (90+7')

Preview: Famalicao vs. Santa Clara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Relegation-threatened Famalicao host Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga on Friday evening, looking to claim all three points to boost their hopes of survival.

Ivo Vieira's side face the Azoreans, who have won just one of their last seven top-flight matches, conceding 10 goals in the process.


Match preview

Famalicao players celebrate after scoring against Porto on June 3, 2020© Reuters

Famalicao were unable to extend their unbeaten league run to three matches but came close as they lost 3-2 away at Portuguese giants Porto last week.

Despite conceding an eighth-minute goal through Antonio Martinez, a brilliant free-kick on the stroke of half time from Ivo Rodrigues gave the visitors belief heading into the break.

However, a penalty converted by Mehdi Taremi and a header from Marko Grujic saw the Dragons take control of the match, and although Famalicao's Anderson Silva scored in stoppage time to pull one back, the hosts were able to hold on for all three points.

That result has seen Vieira's side drop down to 14th in the Primeira Liga, just two points above the relegation playoff position and four points clear of the bottom two.

Three of Famalicao's final four league matches are against sides currently inside the top eight, including Santa Clara who they beat 2-1 away from home in January.

Famalicao have the worst home record in this season's top-flight, winning just twice and accumulating only 13 points from their 15 matches at the Municipal Stadium Famalicao.

They face a Santa Clara side who have lost eight Primeira Liga away games this campaign, including each of their last five.

The Azoreans played out an entertaining 3-3 draw against Boavista in their most recent league encounter last weekend, with Fabio Cardoso's 94th-minute equaliser giving both teams a share of the spoils at the Estadio de Sao Miguel.

Santa Clara remain in seventh place, nine points behind Pacos de Ferreira in fifth, who currently occupy the final European qualification position.

Daniel Ramos's side, who were promoted to the top-flight three seasons ago, are still on course to finish the campaign in their highest ever position, bettering 10th and ninth-place finishes in the previous two terms.

Victory on Friday would be their 11th of the season, equalling the total that they managed in both of the last two campaigns, with three matches still to play.

Famalicao Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D


Team News

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

Famalicao left-back Ruben Vinagre missed the defeat against Porto with a thigh injury and he is unlikely to feature against Santa Clara.

Calvin Verdonk is set to keep his place in the side if the Wolverhampton Wanderers loanee fails to recover.

Centre-back Srdjan Babic is also an injury concern, so one of Diogo Queiros or Patrick is set to start at the heart of the defence in his absence.

Vieira may decide to start striker Anderson Silva, which is likely to see Ivan Jaime, who began the last match as a false nine, move to the left-wing with Gil Dias set to play on the opposite flank.

For Santa Clara, midfielder Julio Romao is ruled out with a knee injury, while Diogo Salomao will be assessed before kickoff to see if he can feature.

Forward Rui Costa has been dropped to the bench for the last three matches and may begin Friday's game there once again, as Crysan is set to be given the nod to start again up front.

The 24-year-old could be joined in attack by Carlos and Allano, although winger Ukra – who has begun the last five matches on the bench – will be hoping he can earn his place in the first XI.

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Figueiras, Riccieli, Queiros, Verdonk; Assuncao; Ugarte, Pepe; Dias, Silva, Jaime

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Marco; Ramos, Cardoso, Villanueva, Mansur; Lincoln, Morita, Carvalho; Carlos, Crysan, Allano


SM words green background

We say: Famalicao 1-1 Santa Clara

Santa Clara have little to play for as they head down the home straight, while Famalicao are still in danger of relegation and securing three points would provide a massive boost in their bid to avoid the drop.

However, with little to separate the two teams, a score draw could be on the cards at the Municipal Stadium Famalicao.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Famalicao vs Santa Clara

Famalicao
58.3%
Draw
20.8%
Santa Clara
20.8%
24
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Porto coach Sergio Conceicao pictured on April 7, 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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