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Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jul 11, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Chapecoense

Flamengo
2 - 1
Chapecoense

De Arrascaeta (78'), Michael (82')
De Arrascaeta (23'), Pereira (66'), Vitinho (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perotti (67')
Busanello (29'), Jose Marques Maciel (38'), Ramon (40')

Preview: Flamengo vs. Chapecoense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two out-of-form sides meet at the Maracana on Sunday as Flamengo play host to Chapecoense.

The home team have lost their last two matches to drop down to 12th, while Chapecoense have yet to win this campaign and are 19th in the 20-team division.


Match preview

Flamengo's Rodrigo Muniz celebrates scoring their second goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo have won the Brasileiro title in the last two seasons, making their slow start to the 2021 campaign all the more surprising.

After an inconsistent set of results in their opening six games, the Scarlet-Black have since lost to rivals Fluminense and Atletico Mineiro.

Two goals in three minutes from Jefferson Savarino earned Atletico a 2-1 victory in Tuesday's match, rendering William Arao's late header nothing more than a consolation.

With three defeats in four games, the pressure is on Rogerio Ceni to get things right against lowly Chapecoense this weekend.

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

The Big Green have a return of four points from a possible 30 since returning to the top flight this season and are kept off the foot of the division by Gremio alone.

Jair Ventura's side have taken points off Ceara, Sao Paulo, Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense this term, but they have lost their last three games.

That includes back-to-back matches without scoring against Bahia and Corinthians, which simply has to change if they are to make up the four-point gap on 16th place.

The 18 goals Chapecoense have conceded this season is easily the most of any Brasileiro side, though their eight goals for is only two fewer than Flamengo have managed.

Sunday's match will mark the first time that these sides have met since October 2019, when Flamengo picked up a 1-0 victory.

Flamengo Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their first goal on June 13, 2021© Reuters

Flamengo can welcome Vitinho back for Saturday's game after the attacker served a one-match ban in the loss to Atletico Mineiro.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Mauricio Isla and Robert Piris Da Motta are all back from international duty, but Everton Ribeiro and Gabriel Barbosa are still away with Brazil.

Diego and Cesar are the home side's two other likely absentees due to injury issues.

As for Chapecoense, they have a long list of injuries that includes Moises Ribeiro, Tiepo, Leo Gomes and Joilson.

To make matters worse for Ventura, Alan Santos sustained a problem in the loss to Bahia and had to be replaced.

Anselmo Ramon was brought on as a second-half substitute in that most recent match and is pushing for a recall here.

Flamengo possible starting lineup:
Alves; Isla, G. Henrique, Caio, Luis; Michael, Gomes, Arao, Arrascaeta; B. Henrique, Pedro

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Ribeiro, Ignacio, Santana, Derlan; Guedes, Lima; Mike, Ravanelli, Fernandinho; Ramon


SM words green background

We say: Flamengo 2-0 Chapecoense

Flamengo cannot afford to lose another match, especially against a side as low in the division as Chapecoense, who are yet to win a game this season.

The Scarlet-Black have a big cup game to come next week, but all focus will be on this match and we can see them picking up a morale-boosting win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:454598:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8549:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Flamengo vs Chapecoense

Flamengo
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Chapecoense
4.2%
24
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Flamengo's Rodrigo Muniz celebrates scoring their second goal on June 20, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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