MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:12:59| >> :60:3081:3081:
Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Bologna logo

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Bologna

Harder (77')
Debast (43'), Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes (66'), Hjulmand (87'), Tcherno Quenda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pobega (21')
Holm (22'), Beukema (42'), Iling-Junior (44'), Lykogiannis (56'), Erlic (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Nacional
Saturday, January 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, January 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Bologna

Only one of Sporting's last 24 Champions League home games has ended level, and that was over seven years ago, but they are very hot and cold, with 12 wins and 11 defeats. Against a Bologna side playing just for pride though, the home team should fancy their chances of getting the point they need to advance, even though the Rossoblu stunned Dortmund last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 14.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBologna
66.33% (3.391 3.39) 19.48% (-1.272 -1.27) 14.19% (-2.115 -2.12)
Both teams to score 51.12% (-0.881 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (1.444 1.44)42.4% (-1.439 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (1.427 1.43)64.8% (-1.422 -1.42)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.1% (1.405 1.41)11.91% (-1.401 -1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.76% (2.905 2.91)37.24% (-2.901 -2.9)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.03% (-1.955 -1.96)41.97% (1.958 1.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.59% (-1.743 -1.74)78.41% (1.747 1.75)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 66.33%
    Bologna 14.19%
    Draw 19.48%
Sporting LisbonDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.746 0.75)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.3 0.3)
4-0 @ 4.27% (0.6 0.6)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.345 0.35)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.82% (0.337 0.34)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.07 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 66.33%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.603 -0.6)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.48%
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.539 -0.54)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.497 -0.5)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 14.19%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Bologna

Sporting Lisbon
78.7%
Draw
10.6%
Bologna
10.6%
141
rhs 2.0
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