There is a plethora of attacking quality on both sides, and while Al-Nassr are the team in better form, Al Ittihad always seem to be at their best at home against the side from Riyadh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Nassr
40.64% ( -0.17)	23.61% ( 0.05)	35.75% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 62.75% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.87% (

-0.2)

39.13% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.55% (

-0.21)

61.45% (

0.21)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.4% (

-0.16)

19.6% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

-0.26)

51.53% (

0.26)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

-0.03)

21.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

-0.04)

55.24% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 40.64%

Al-Nassr 35.75%

Draw 23.61%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 40.64%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.75%