AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 4pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Istiqlol Dushanbe1 - 1Al-Nassr
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Istiqlol Dushanbe and Al-Nassr.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-0 Istiqlol Dushanbe
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-0 Al-Nassr
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, December 1 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Nassr |
26.43% ( -0.49) | 22.77% ( -0.03) | 50.8% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% ( -0.28) | 39.71% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% ( -0.29) | 62.06% ( 0.29) |
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( -0.5) | 27.97% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.39% ( -0.64) | 63.61% ( 0.64) |
Al-Nassr Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.2% ( 0.08) | 15.8% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.04% ( 0.14) | 44.96% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Istiqlol Dushanbe 26.43%
Al-Nassr 50.81%
Draw 22.76%
Istiqlol Dushanbe | Draw | Al-Nassr |
2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.66% Total : 26.43% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.81% |
How you voted: Istiqlol Dushanbe vs Al-Nassr
Istiqlol Dushanbe
0.0%Draw
16.7%Al-Nassr
83.3%12
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:24:28
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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