Club Friendlies
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City4 - 2Chelsea
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in their pre-season friendly with Chelsea.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.20am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Manchester City 1-1 Chelsea
These are such difficult matches to predict, especially with Man City missing so many of their important players. Guardiola's side were improved against Barcelona last time out, though, and we are backing a low-scoring draw between the two Premier League rivals here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
60.31% ( -0.94) | 18.89% ( 0.1) | 20.79% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 67.91% ( 1.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.75% ( 0.77) | 27.25% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.19% ( 0.96) | 47.8% ( -0.96) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.98% ( 0.01) | 9.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.03) | 30.72% ( -0.03) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 1.17) | 25.36% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.85% ( 1.58) | 60.15% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 60.31%
Chelsea 20.79%
Draw 18.89%
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.31)1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 5% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.48% Total : 60.31% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.89% | 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.14% Total : 20.79% |
How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea
Manchester City
52.5%Draw
12.9%Chelsea
34.5%139
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
May 21, 2023 4pm
Jan 8, 2023 4.30pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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