Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 80.32%. A draw has a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chelsea has a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 3-1 with a probability of 8.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (7.86%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.53%), while for a Chelsea win it is 1-2 (2.35%).