Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 4.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.