MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:21:11| >> :60:375:375:
Bournemouth logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Rayo Vallecano logo

Bournemouth
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Sinisterra (31')
(20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Valentin (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Bournemouth and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Bournemouth (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 25 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Bournemouth 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

After increasing their match fitness while Stateside, Bournemouth will prove far too strong for Rayo Vallecano on home turf: Iraola's current club should secure their first win of pre-season, leaving his former side still searching for theirs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawRayo Vallecano
45.55% (-2.829 -2.83) 24.33% (0.774 0.77) 30.12% (2.058 2.06)
Both teams to score 58.01% (-1.274 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57% (-2.299 -2.3)44.43% (2.3 2.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2% (-2.266 -2.27)66.8% (2.266 2.27)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-2.046 -2.05)19.64% (2.046 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-3.442 -3.44)51.61% (3.442 3.44)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (0.245 0.25)27.81% (-0.245 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (0.314 0.31)63.4% (-0.314 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 45.55%
    Rayo Vallecano 30.12%
    Draw 24.32%
BournemouthDrawRayo Vallecano
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.313 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.463 -0.46)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.391 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.272 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.339 -0.34)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.278 -0.28)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.55%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.526 0.53)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.32%
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.352 0.35)
0-1 @ 6.99% (0.716 0.72)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.486 0.49)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.219 0.22)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.12%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Rayo Vallecano

Bournemouth
88.5%
Draw
7.7%
Rayo Vallecano
3.8%
26
rhs 2.0
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12Bournemouth114341515015
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