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Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Brighton logo

Bournemouth
3 - 0
Brighton

Senesi (13'), Unal (52'), Kluivert (87')
Senesi (8'), Kluivert (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gilmour (58'), Barco (66')

The Match

Match Report

Bournemouth cruise to a 3-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in Sunday's Premier League fixture at the Vitality Stadium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Bournemouth and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
41.99% (-0.257 -0.26) 22.32% (0.038 0.04) 35.68% (0.217 0.22)
Both teams to score 67.72% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)32.65% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (-0.174 -0.17)54.32% (0.172 0.17)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.65% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)16.34% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.05% (-0.293 -0.29)45.94% (0.29 0.29)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (0.055999999999997 0.06)50.64% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 41.99%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.68%
    Draw 22.32%
BournemouthDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 41.99%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.025 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.037 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.16% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.61% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 35.68%

How you voted: Bournemouth vs Brighton

Bournemouth
68.2%
Draw
14.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
16.9%
154
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Brighton
3-1
Bournemouth
Kerkez (45+2' og.), Mitoma (46', 77')
Veltman (37'), Gilmour (45+3'), Dunk (75')
Solanke (25')
Zabarnyi (41'), Brooks (89'), Senesi (90+6')
> Match Report
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bournemouth
0-2
Brighton
Ferguson (28'), Enciso (90+1')
> Match Report
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Brighton
1-0
Bournemouth
Mitoma (87')
> Match Report
Jan 21, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
3-1
Brighton
> Match Report
Dec 28, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Brighton
2-0
Bournemouth
> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
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3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
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10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
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> Premier League Full Table


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