Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One
We said: Cambridge United 0-1 Derby County
Despite failing to win any of their last three away matches, we are expecting Derby to turn on the style here and record a potentially promotion-securing victory at the Abbey. Cambridge's form has stuttered in recent weeks, and the visit of the second-placed Rams to the Abbey Stadium is not an ideal opportunity to get back to winning ways. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 14.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambridge United | Draw | Derby County |
14.73% ( 0.01) | 22.51% ( 0) | 62.76% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
