Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lusitania FC Lourosa win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Beira-Mar had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lusitania FC Lourosa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Beira-Mar win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
