Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pevidem win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Beira-Mar had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pevidem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Beira-Mar win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.