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Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 20, 2022 at 7pm UK
Independence Stadium
Tunisia national football team

Gambia
1 - 0
Tunisia

Jallow (90+3')
Adams (48'), Gomez (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mathlouthi (45+2'), Mejbri (90+2'), Drager (90+2')
Ben Mustapha (45+3')

Preview: Gambia vs. Tunisia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gambia and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Separated by just one point in Group F of the Africa Cup of Nations, Gambia and Tunisia go head to head at the Limbe Omnisport Stadium on Thursday.

Gambia currently lead the way in the group table, level on four points with second-place Mali, while the Eagles of Carthage are third with three points from two outings.


Match preview

Gambia's Musa Barrow celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 16, 2022© Reuters

Gambia maintained their fine start to the Africa Cup of Nations as they put on a resilient display to come from behind to salvage a 1-1 draw against Mali last Sunday.

Following an uneventful first half, Ibrahima Kone converted his 79th-minute penalty to put the Eagles ahead but Musa Barrow was calm under pressure as he made no mistake from the opposite penalty spot to restore parity in the 90th minute.

Tom Stieft will be delighted with his side's start to the tournament after they opened thir campaign with a hard-earned 1-0 victory over a resilient Mauritania side when they squared off last Wednesday.

Having amassed four points from their first two games, Gambia are currently top of Group F, level on points with second-placed Mali, and a share of the spoils on Thursday will be enough to see them through to the last 16.

Tunisia's Hamza Mathlouthi celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on January 16, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Tunisia got their AFCON campaign up and running last time out when they cruised to a dominant 4-0 win over Mauritania at the Limbe Omnisport Stadium.

After racing to a two-goal lead inside the opening nine minutes through Hamza Mathlouthi and Wahbi Khazri, the Saint-Etienne forward scored his second of the game four minutes after the hour mark before setting up Seifeddine Jaziri's strike two minutes later.

This followed a somewhat disappointing 1-0 defeat at the hands of Mali in their group curtain-raiser on January 12, when Ibrahima Kone scored the only goal of the game from the penalty spot three minutes after the half-time break.

Tunisia, who are currently third in the group standings with three points from two outings, have now won just one of their last three games in all competitions, losing two of those games, including December's Arab Cup final against Algeria.

However, Mondher Kebaier's men will feel confident of claiming the desired result and progressing to the next phase of the tournament as they go up against an opposing side who are currently 120 places below them according to the latest FIFA World Rankings.

Gambia Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • W
  • D

Gambia form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Tunisia Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L
  • W

Tunisia form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W


Team News

Tunisia coach Mondher Kebaier on January 16, 2022© Reuters

Barrow has been involved in Gambia's two goals at the tournament, scoring one and assisting the other, and the Bologna forward will look to come up trumps for the Scorpions once again.

However, Levski Sofia defender Noah Sonko Sundberg is a doubt for Thursday's game after coming off with a 73rd-minute injury against Mali last time out.

His replacement Saidy Janko came on for his first appearance of the tournament and the 26-year-old could be handed a starting role by Saintfiet.

Meanwhile, Jaziri is a doubt for Tunisia after the Zamalek forward picked up a slight knock which saw him make way for Aissa Laidouni midway through Sunday's win over Mauritania.

Other than that, there are no concerns on the injury front for the Eagles of Carthage and we expect Kebaier to name a similar starting side against the Scorpions.

Khazri turned in a performance of the highest quality against Mauritania and the Saint-Etienne forward, who is second on the nation's all-time scoring chart with 24 goals in 67 games, will definitely be one to keep an eye out for.

Gambia possible starting lineup:
Jobe; Modou, Colley, Gomez, Touray; Adams, Bobb, Marreh, Jallow; Barrow, Ceesay

Tunisia possible starting lineup:
Said; Mathlouthi, Ifa, Talbi, Maaloul; Slimane, Skhiri, Chaalali; Mejbri; Khazri, Laidouni


SM words green background

We say: Gambia 1-2 Tunisia

Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides going all out for all three points. On the back of their dominant performance last time out, the Tunisians will head into the game in sky-high confidence and we are tipping them to come away with the win and confirm their place in the knockout stages.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Tunisia had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Tunisia win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Gambia vs Tunisia

Gambia
20.6%
Draw
16.5%
Tunisia
62.9%
97
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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