MX23RW : Monday, December 23 14:24:12| >> :600:198102:198102:
[monks data]
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 9, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Braga

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Braga

Goncalves (29')
Paulinho (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Horta (9')
Sequeira (78'), Rodrigues (88')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gil Vicente will look to record the victory which would secure their Primeira Liga status for another season when they host Braga on Sunday evening.

The hosts are currently in 10th but are not mathematically safe with three games remaining, while Braga look set for a fourth-placed finish.


Match preview

Braga's Francisco Moura celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in November 2020© Reuters

Gil Vicente secured a massive victory in their quest to avoid relegation on Wednesday night, winning 1-0 away to Maritimo due to a Samuel Lino first-half goal.

That result reduced any fears of relegation, with Ricardo Soares's side now sitting seven points above the bottom two and knowing a win on the weekend would guarantee avoiding relegation.

They came into the Maritimo game after a disappointing 0-0 draw at home against struggling Farense, as well as two consecutive defeats against Famalicao and Belenenses respectively.

Despite still mathematically being in danger of relegation, with the league being as close as it is, Gil Vicente are only two points behind eighth, which would be their highest league finish since ending seventh in the 2002-03 campaign.

If they want a strong finish to the season, starting with a win on Sunday, they will need to end their run of three home games without a victory against a Braga side to whom they lost 1-0 in January in a very close affair.

Braga come into the weekend's game after a drop in form, winning only once in their last six games, ending their chances of a Champions League or Europa League finish in second or third, meaning they will have to settle for the new UEFA Conference League next season.

Having lost their previous two games 1-0 to Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, the Archbishops managed to earn a draw on Wednesday evening against fifth-placed Pacos de Ferreira, ending any doubts of being leapfrogged by the opposition in the final weeks.

Pacos de Ferreira opened the scoring in the first half through Portuguese forward Joao Pedro, with a late penalty scored by Wenderson Galeno levelling it for Braga.

Even though Carlos Carvalhal's side are almost certain to finish in fourth, they will still want to end the season strongly to mount a run of form ahead of their cup final against Benfica on May 23.

Sunday's match could possibly be an entertaining affair, with there being at least one red card in the last three meetings between the two, Braga winning two of those 1-0 while the other ended 2-2.

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Defender Joao Afonso is Gil Vicente's only absentee going into this weekend's game yet this is unlikely to have much effect with both Ygor Nogueira and Ruben Fernandes above him in the battle for the centre-back position next to Rodrigao.

After scoring the winner last time out, Lino is likely set to start ahead of Pedro Marques up front.

The visitors will be again without young winger Iuri Medeiros and centre-back David Carmo, while full-back Francisco Moura is getting closer to a return from injury.

Carvalhal is boosted by the return of Ali Musrati from suspension, and he will be ready to start for Braga in midfield.

Wing-back Galeno and forward Abel Ruiz are set to return to Braga's starting lineup after being used as substitutes last time out.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Denis; Talocha, Rodrigao, Nogueira, Pereira; Pedrinho, Mineiro, Carvalho; Lourency, Lino, Leautey

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Silva, Tormena, Sequeira; Esgaio, Musrati, Fransergio, Galeno; Piazon, Ruiz, Gaitan


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 2-0 Braga

Gil Vicente have looked an improved side this season and will be aiming to end a run of seven games in all competitions against Braga this weekend. The visitors have been on a poor run of form recently, which may continue at the weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:446493:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8698:
Written by
Chris Durcan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Braga

Gil Vicente
27.8%
Draw
11.1%
Braga
61.1%
18
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
Read Next:
Wednesday's Primeira Liga predictions including Rio Ave vs. Sporting Lisbon
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!